• Analysis

    The list are finally out!

    After a tumultuous month, filled with Machiavelli’s political machinations and Shakespearean plots, the electoral lists for the next election in Lebanon, are set! 77 lists were officially registered, vying for 128 parliamentary seats in 15 districts! It was a bumpy ride, filled with backstabbing, bluffs, and some last minutes surprises. Most political parties waited until the last possible moment, before…

  • Analysis

    A market in full swing!

    With the period for individual candidates registration closing fast (it ends on March 7, 60 days before elections), it is a general stamped! Every major party has announced or will soon announce their list of candidates, as an opening bid in a very complicated and multi layered poker game. However, the field of candidates will rapidly be filled with too…

  • Uncategorized

    What is this about?

    This website aims to spread knowledge about the upcoming Lebanese parliamentary election, focusing on informing its readers on the law, how to vote, and then the possible outcome. You can find important information in our resources page, such as a map of the 15 districts, a full copy of the electoral law Arabic and English, and many more. Please feel…

  • Polls

    Polls: Zahleh

    in this poll of Zhaleh district balance of power, made by Kamal Fghaleh, published in Al-Akhbar Newspaper, several pertinent points can be made, but first i will summarize the main findings, and you can check the link and the picture below for full details: Party name Projected votes Projected % Future Movement 28,004 24.1 Hezbollah 22,654 15.6 FPM (Aoun) 14,612…

  • Uncategorized

    Trend Analysis explained!

    Similarly, to yesterday’s explanation of the POLL of POLLS (PoPs), we will use some fictive polls to illustrate the trend analysis. Yesterday’s articles explained the PoPs. For the trend analysis, we need to receive a few more polls from the same statistics companies or pollsters, spread out over a longer period of time, for the same district. For example, let…

  • Uncategorized

    How does a POLL of POLLS work?

    The system, used by Nate Silver’s 538 and Real Clear Politics, focuses on aggregating the largest number of polls and surveys. Then the idea is to calculate an average poll, which should reflect reality with more accuracy. Moreover, the additional focus of such a system could be more on the trends that could be calculated by comparing the polls of the…