• Uncategorized

    E-Day indicators!

    During E-day and the early hours of counting, there are a few indicators that could help us discern the election trends before the full counting is done. First and foremost are the participation numbers! Indeed these numbers are critical, especially for major parties, like FM, FPM, LF and Hezbollah and Amal. For example, in 2009 in Beirut III district only…

  • Analysis

    The Capital!

    Beirut (with both districts) has 19 seats, making almost 15% of the the parliament. The number might seems big, but keep in mind, Lebanon is a very centralized country, with most of its economy, services, education, government institutions located in Beirut.* However, it is not just the number of MPS that is important, winning in Beirut is highly symbolic and…

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    Sunday Fun Facts!

    The oldest candidate for the upcoming elections is 90, Mr. Mikhail Daher, and there are 12 candidates in total who are 80 years old and above. Meanwhile, Lebanon’s median age is of 30 years, and 40% of them are under 24 years old. Tyre – Zahrani district has the lowest number of running lists with 2 Beirut II has the…

  • Analysis

    The list are finally out!

    After a tumultuous month, filled with Machiavelli’s political machinations and Shakespearean plots, the electoral lists for the next election in Lebanon, are set! 77 lists were officially registered, vying for 128 parliamentary seats in 15 districts! It was a bumpy ride, filled with backstabbing, bluffs, and some last minutes surprises. Most political parties waited until the last possible moment, before…

  • Analysis

    A market in full swing!

    With the period for individual candidates registration closing fast (it ends on March 7, 60 days before elections), it is a general stamped! Every major party has announced or will soon announce their list of candidates, as an opening bid in a very complicated and multi layered poker game. However, the field of candidates will rapidly be filled with too…

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    What is this about?

    This website aims to spread knowledge about the upcoming Lebanese parliamentary election, focusing on informing its readers on the law, how to vote, and then the possible outcome. You can find important information in our resources page, such as a map of the 15 districts, a full copy of the electoral law Arabic and English, and many more. Please feel…

  • Polls

    Polls: Zahleh

    in this poll of Zhaleh district balance of power, made by Kamal Fghaleh, published in Al-Akhbar Newspaper, several pertinent points can be made, but first i will summarize the main findings, and you can check the link and the picture below for full details: Party name Projected votes Projected % Future Movement 28,004 24.1 Hezbollah 22,654 15.6 FPM (Aoun) 14,612…

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    Trend Analysis explained!

    Similarly, to yesterday’s explanation of the POLL of POLLS (PoPs), we will use some fictive polls to illustrate the trend analysis. Yesterday’s articles explained the PoPs. For the trend analysis, we need to receive a few more polls from the same statistics companies or pollsters, spread out over a longer period of time, for the same district. For example, let…